Bitcoin’s value is at an all-time high again. Following the hype peak and crash in 2011, many seemed to have thought it was just another dotcom fluke. But bitcoin was much more than that, and it has returned with a vengeance – its market cap is now twice what it was in the 2011 peak, and it is nowhere near its potential, which is four orders of magnitude above today’s value.
In this, a lot of people are confused at the fact that bitcoin has climbed 200% since the start of this year alone, and wonder what to make of it. It is currently at $41.50 and climbing fast, and I see a lot of people just looking at the numbers and guessing from charts how things will pan out.
I am seeing guesses of $50, $100, $150, even $1,000. These numbers seem pulled out of thin air from just looking at the charts – nobody seems to have done due diligence from the other direction, from the most fundamental observation of all:
Bitcoin is a transactional currency. As such, it is competing for market share on the transactional currency market.
Talking about bitcoin value is not about happily watching numbers go up and down while having popcorn. This is about identifying a global market, looking at its size and estimating a target market share based on the strengths and weaknesses of the competing product or service under analysis.
good to be true?
But let’s look into the future!
The Bitcoin course at its launch in 2009 was under 1 US Dollar.
Now the value is already over 1200 dollars. Ascending trend!
The M2 money supply (cash, accounts & savings deposits) is currently estimated to be about $ 60 trillion.
In the next decade, the cryptographic keys of about 18 million bitcoins
will be calculated. Because people tend to save money, we can assume
that of 18 million bitcoins only 6 million will be in circulation.
Let us now assume that Bitcoin has reached 1 to 10% of the global currency
This would give market capitalization of 600 billion to six trillion US dollars.
In this case, a bitcoin would be worth $ 100,000 to $ 1 million.
Of course this is theoretical, but it should show you WHAT
is a huge potential behind this coin, and why you should not
hesitate to participate on the profitable Bitcoin Mining.